The following back-test documents the results of testing LONG and SHORT trades when the MACD crossing the signal line. This MACD strategy by far under performs MACD crossing zero as a trading signal.
Objective: Document historical returns using single indicators as trading systems.
Indicator/System: MACD Signal Line Crossing MACD
Ticker: PowerShares - QQQQ
Start Date: 3/11/1999
End Date: 12/01/2009
Max Stop Loss: 8%
xBuy = Cross(MACD(),Signal());
xSell = Cross(Signal(),MACD());
PlotBuy = ExRem(xBuy ,xSell);
PlotSell = ExRem(xSell ,xBuy );
Buy = (PlotBuy);
Sell = (PlotSell );
PlotShapes(shapeUpArrow * PlotBuy , colorGreen, 0,L);
PlotShapes(shapeDownArrow * PlotSell , colorRed, 0,H);
Number of Trades and % Profit
Conclusion: MACD Signal crossing MACD as a stand alone trading system produces inferior results with -7.75% annual returns.
All back-tests were performed with AMIBroker