Sunday, February 27, 2011 EST

We had many inquiries this week on the Stock Market Timing Model (MTR-TM). This no doubt comes at a time when issues around the world places pressure on the stock market. Add to the mix the long run on the last Market Up signal on the timing model and it has many wondering what is coming next.

Frequently asked question

Q: What will trigger a market down signal?
A: The MTR-TM must have a week over week change of close to -4% and trend down for a number of days. There are additional proprietary logic in the model that will trigger a market down signal.

Q: How long have you been using the timing model?
A: We first started using the timing model in 2007.  It came after a year of back-testing strategies using AMIBroker software.

Q: When was the timing model first available for public use?
A: The timing model was placed on a blog and manually updated when a signal change took place.  In March of 2009 we launched MTR Investors Group website and put a process in place to automatically update the model each night.

Q: What is the return on the timing model?
A: We plan on updating the returns real-time but have not been able to schedule the work. Click here to view back-tested results. We will update these results in the near future.

Q: When will the next signal come?
A: We cannot answer that, it depends on the market and the model.  Here is a recent screen shot as of 2/25/2011

 
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