Bookmark and Share
Blog Post On: 3/27/2009

I heard in various financial news shows about "Dr. Doom" but to be honest I did not know the reason why there was so much talk about him.

The New York times has a great article that discussed how Nouriel Roubini (Dr. Doom) on September 7, 2006 announced how the USA was facing housing bust, oil shock, and other economic woes.

Here is a snippet of the New York Times Article "Dr Doom"

"On Sept. 7, 2006, Nouriel Roubini, an economics professor at New York University, stood before an audience of economists at the International Monetary Fund and announced that a crisis was brewing. In the coming months and years, he warned, the United States was likely to face a once-in-a-lifetime housing bust, an oil shock, sharply declining consumer confidence and, ultimately, a deep recession. He laid out a bleak sequence of events: homeowners defaulting on mortgages, trillions of dollars of mortgage-backed securities unraveling worldwide and the global financial system shuddering to a halt."


Bookmark and Share   
Blog Post On: 3/25/2009

Paul Krugman (2008 Nobel Prize in Economics) wrote an article titled "Financial Policy Despair" where he details why buying Toxic Assets will not work, and discusses a proven plan that has worked in the past.  He goes on to say that the investors that buy the debt can walk away from it.  The existing plan seems like a phony way to inflate the value of the toxic assets in the hope that lending will spur consumer spending. This all seems to be built on vapor.

Here is a snippet of what Krugman has to say...

As economic historians can tell you, this is an old story, not that different from dozens of similar crises over the centuries. And there’s a time-honored procedure for dealing with the aftermath of widespread financial failure. It goes like this: the government secures confidence in the system by guaranteeing many (though not necessarily all) bank debts. At the same time, it takes temporary control of truly insolvent banks, in order to clean up their books. 

That’s what Sweden did in the early 1990s. It’s also what we ourselves did after the savings and loan debacle of the Reagan years. And there’s no reason we can’t do the same thing now. 

But the Obama administration, like the Bush administration, apparently wants an easier way out. The common element to the Paulson and Geithner plans is the insistence that the bad assets on banks’ books are really worth much, much more than anyone is currently willing to pay for them. In fact, their true value is so high that if they were properly priced, banks wouldn’t be in trouble. 

But the Geithner scheme would offer a one-way bet: if asset values go up, the investors profit, but if they go down, the investors can walk away from their debt. So this isn’t really about letting markets work. It’s just an indirect, disguised way to subsidize purchases of bad assets. - Paul Krugman

Read the full article here


Bookmark and Share   
Blog Post On: 3/25/2009

Once a year Barron's publishes a Discount Broker Rating matrix.

If you are just starting out with investing or looking for a new broker this list below can be very helpful.

Barron's Discount Broker Ratings

Barron's - Broker Ratings

Kiplinger - Broker Ratings

We have evaluated Fidelity, Scottrade, and TradeKing. Fidelity has by far the best economic research out of any of the online brokers.

Our Take:

Fidelity: The best free economic research. Mobile device trading. Trades at $19.95. In order to get the lowest $8.00 rate you must have $25k in the account and place 120+ trades a year.
Interactive Brokers: The lowest commision anywhere, super fast trade executions, trade multiple products, mobile device trading is bare bones but gets the job done.
Scottrade: Good research, good execution and $7.00 trades. That about sums it up.
TradeKing: Free research by MarketGrader.com, online options training course, community forums. $4.95 trades for ETFs, Stocks and Options. We like that!

There are many other brokers with interesting offers. Zecco offers free trades and low fees but they seem to appear on the bottom of most of the recommended brokers. This could be due to the fact that this is such a new company.


Bookmark and Share